Monday, November 29, 2010

Decade of Suck, part 2

So the Isles' streak of 14 losses has been snapped. Does that mean they're no longer on pace to be epically shitty? Perhaps. The NHL is more evenly competitive than it's ever been, and streaks just happen. However, we can always hope to see a new mark for futility.

Next, we examine a surprisingly less shitty team than I remember:

9. 2009-2010 Edmonton Oilers

Point Total: 62
Record: 27-47-8 (W-L-OTL)
Points Behind Next Worst: 12 (Maple Leafs)
Goal Differential: -70 (Worst in NHL)

The Season

The lone bright spot of these Oilers (besides the high first round draft pick, which is more than the Leafs can claim), was their shootout record of 8-6. With only 2 OT losses the entire year (excluding Shootout Losses), I think it's safe to say their points total was inflated.

They started out, as many poor teams do, pretty decently, going 6-2-1 in their first 9 games. Optimism was perhaps crushed when they dropped their next 6 out of 7, losing every game by at least 2 goals and finding their only win in a shootout. After an up-and-down rest of November, they hit the jets in December, winning 5 straight road games. Confident, they began a homestand of their own, expecting great things.

[Oops}

They were swept on their 4-game homestand, then scored a whopping 3 goals over their next 3 games. Still, 6-8-0 is not a terrible December record, if not an encouraging one. Of course, they didn't win a single game the next month, going 0-10-2. On Dec. 30, they had 36 points. 31 days later, they had 38. They traded streaks down the stretch for the most part, but the Oilers were completely unable to recover from their mid-season slump, and finished dead last in the NHL.

Good Signs

Dustin "Offer Sheet" Penner scored 32 goals (including the 100th of his career), a team high. Unfortunately, no one else scored over 17. Ales Hemsky, injured most of the season, was a point per game, netting 22 in 22 games, and an impressive +7. Ryan Whitney, acquired in a trade from Anaheim, led the team with +7 in 19 games. And while Khabibulin had a fairly shitty 3.03 GAA, his SP was .909, better than many goaltenders who made the playoffs. Oh, and then the draft.

Did They Make the Best of It?

Too soon to tell. Taylor Hall is a franchise player, sure. But it's uncertain what kind of franchise player he'll be. Currently he's 6th among rookies, not a position you want from a number one pick. 11 points in 22 games and a -6. Teammate Jordan Eberle has 14, and possibly the year's highlight reel goal (not involving an inept Mike Green). But in a relatively weak-looking draft, Edmonton grabbed one of the two notable players. That has to count for something, right?

Right?

- Matt

Monday, November 22, 2010

Decade of Suck, part 1

The Islanders' recent 13-game slide has understandably epic. After all, in today's NHL, with a salary cap/floor and shootouts giving teams free wins, it's almost inconceivable that a team could go on such a slide. But one quarter of the way into the season, the Isles are improbably riding 12 points, putting them on roughly a 47 point pace. The Devils are there as well, but you have to figure they have more to play for once Brodeur is healthy.

Anyway, this got me thinking. Could this year's Isles be the worst team in modern hockey history? I did some digging, and while there were quite a few bad teams over the last decade or so, I settled on the worst team of each season. Starting with the Atlanta Thrashers of 1999-2000, and finishing up with last year's Oilers, I then ranked them from 10th worst to absolute worst. And trust me, the worst is very, very bad.

Since I'd like to milk an idea for all it's worth, I'm going to break these up into segments. My rankings totally depend on total points, and I'll admit it's flawed. Yes, the OT loss now counts for 1 point, rather than the zero it used to. But you have to figure some of those ties end in shootout victories, enough to cancel out the OT losses being worth nothing. So, let's bring out number 10:

10. 2007-2008 Tampa Bay Lightning

Point Total: 71
Record: 31-42-9 (W-L-OTL)
Points Behind Next Worst: 0 (tied with Kings, fewer wins)
Goal Differential: -44 (3rd worst)

The Season

So what makes this team so bad? Actually, not much. They're easily better than every other "worst team", including not even being the worst by much. In actuality, in the current tiebreaking system, Los Angeles would be the worst with their 5 shootout wins to Tampa's two.

The season started off OK, if Wikipedia is any indication. Won their first three, and had 8 points in 6 games. Certainly nothing to sneeze at. An OT loss to the Sabres put them on somewhat of a slide, losing their next 5 in regulation. They rebounded impressively by winning their next 5 games. They traded streaks once again after a second OT loss, and then the wheels fell off.

[December]

After a solid January and a great start to February, the Bolts once again found themselves on the wrong end of the scoresheet, losing a season-high 11 games in a row. Again they traded streaks, and ended up winless in April. They missed the playoffs for the first time in half a dozen years.

Good Signs

The season wasn't a total loss. Lecavalier scored 92 points, including 40 goals. Brad Richards played in his 500th NHL game, before he was traded to the Stars. Mike Smith, the current goalie, was acquired in a trade. They also got Jussi Jokinen but for some reason let him go to Carolina. And most importantly, after a brutal 2007 draft that included a guy named "Cunti", they got the number one overall pick in '08.

Did They Make the Best of It?

The next year they went crazy with money on free agents. This is because they picked up franchise player and current NHL scoring leader Steven Stamkos. Anticipating immediate returns, they splurged on "stars" like Ryan Malone. However, their new owners were responsible for not only Saw, but Two and a Half Men, which are war crimes in less civilized nations. They failed to make the playoffs the next two years as well, but at least they didn't suck out loud in '09-'10.

In the end, Stamkos is worth being the laughingstock of the league for a year or three. They're in great position to re-enter the second season, and depending on matchup, do some damage.

That said, they'll fail horribly and they should feel bad about themselves.

- Matt

Monday, October 25, 2010

Handicapping Championship Chances - NFL

Well, we're 7 weeks into the season, and it's time to start looking towards the playoffs. This will hopefully be a recurring feature every month or so, for both the NFL and NHL. Maybe the MLB later. NBA? Fuck yourself.

Methodology: I pull teams from the top standings on nfl.com and say why each one has a shot at winning the Super Bowl, or in the case of most teams, make fun of them and say why not. Or not say why not. Or not even make fun of them. I might just type random words because the team bores me. I'll also use the space to judge them and their fans. Because that's what makes football worth following.

Not even going to bother sorting them.

First of all, I log onto nfl.com to do my (ahem) research, and there's Breaking News about Favre's ankle. A special tab above everything else for King Cockshot himself. You know what? Fuck the NFL. Bastards will just not leave that perverted fossil attention-whore fudgepacker alone...

Sorry, on with the actual "analysis".


New England Patriots

Holy shit, these fuckers again? This has to be the worst 5-1 team since the last time Denver did that. Can't say I put them as a Super Bowl lock, or even a playoff lock. It has to get tougher for them at some point, right?

Verdict: If everyone else gets ravaged by injuries, sure


New York Jets

Just wait for the implosion. It's coming.

Verdict: Nope.


Pittsburgh Steelers

James Harrison is a piece of shit. I don't have an opinion on his hit. I'd rather see this team (minus Polamalu) drive off the edge of a cliff than see them win again. Still.

Verdict: The favorites.


Atlanta Falcons

As crazy as it sounds, the rest of the NFC is so bad these guys might be the best. Not much else to say, other than their unis suck.

Verdict: Probably not, but let's go with "enh".


Baltimore Ravens

Plus side: They're probably the best team in the league when they play to their potential. Minus side: They haven't yet played to their potential, why start now?

Verdict: Definitely in the realm of possibility.


Tennessee Titans

Had to look them up to see they were a "top" team. No dice.

Verdict: No.


Houston Texans

You've got to be shitting me.

Verdict: Miss playoffs.


Indianapolis Colts

Peyton Manning is too good to blah blah blah blah penis.

Verdict: I guess. What hockey games are on in January?


Kansas City Chiefs

Hahhhhh no.

Verdict: Hahhhhh no.


New York Giants

Well, after they lose tonight, not so great.

Verdict: Dark horse, because every time a column like this is written, it includes the phrase "dark horse".


That's it, boys and girls. There are better teams than the ones above, but I got bored.

- Matt

Monday, October 11, 2010

Monday Night Favresex

Brett Favre should get a restraining order against ESPN's announcers, at the rate they're blowing him.

Maybe they're just jealous he never sexted them. Wooooo.

Fire Norv.

- Matt

Monday, October 4, 2010

Western Conference 2010-2011

I type this as Carolina somehow loses to a KHL team. Eesh.

Anaheim Ducks

Finish: 12th in West, 5th in Pacific

Why: Not to undermine the Ducks, but they are in a tough division. I can't see anyone sucking it up all year in this division, but I have to go with law of averages and assume this time it's Anaheim. They'll be in the hunt for a playoff spot all year, though.


Calgary Flames

Finish: 14th in West, 4th in Northwest

Why: They're counting on aging Kipruusoff and Iginla, and... Olli Jokinen again? Good thing the Oilers make them look good.


Chicago Blackhawks

Finish: 4th in West, 2nd in Central

Why: They sold their peripheral guys, mostly to Atlanta, but kept the core intact. Reminiscent of the Pens a few years ago, so I think they'll do just fine this season.


Colorado Avalanche

Finish: 6th in West, 2nd in Northwest

Why: Man, the Western Conference is so even in the middle seeds that I have no idea. Craig Anderson is awesome, Matt Duchesne is beast, and they have an all-around good squad. Don't see why they shouldn't make it into the postseason.


Columbus Blue Jackets

Finish: 13th in West, 5th in Central

Why: Too many games against very good teams. Unless Steve Mason repeats his rookie effort, he looks like the next Andrew Raycroft already.


Dallas Stars

Finish: 10th in West, 4th in Pacific

Why: No clue. Turco leaving is both good and bad. See Anaheim and Colorado.


Detroit Red Wings

Finish: 2nd in West, 1st in Central

Why: They're baaaaack. As long as Osgood plays as little as possible, Wings should win the dogfight with the Hawks for the division title. Basically, I'm banking on fewer injuries this season.


Edmonton Oilers

Finish: 15th in West, 5th in Northwest

Why: Vomit.


Los Angeles Kings

Finish: 9th in West, 3rd in Pacific

Why: Because despite being this year's chic pick for a Cup contender, they've done nothing to convince me they can become Western Conference elite. Young teams struggling with the weight of added expectations is a story known in every sport, and while I don't expect the Kings to roll over and die, I'm almost positive they miss the playoffs on the last day.


Minnesota Wild

Finish: 11th in West, 3rd in Northwest

Why: I think they're better than 4 other teams, and worse than 10. Not enough evidence to support this claim, other than they don't feel like a playoff team to me.


Nashville Predators

Finish: 7th in West, 3rd in Central

Why: I tried writing them off this season, but Shea Weber destroyed my car with a slapshot. Now I need a ride home.


Phoenix Coyotes

Finish: 5th in West, 2nd in Pacific

Why: I may have them too high here, because of Michalek's departure, but it's their system that really gives them strength. This is the one "middle mob" team I fully expect to reach the postseason, and will be very surprised if they don't. Add this to the list of things I thought I'd never say.


San Jose Sharks

Finish: 1st in West, 1st in Pacific, President's Trophy

Why: Come on. It's the Sharks. This is what they do. Loss of Blake will hurt, but we're talking regular season.


St. Louis Blues

Finish: 8th in West, 4th in Central

Why: Halak is definitely an upgrade in net, and the squad is essentially returning the same squad that finished strong last season. Should be an interesting fight with LA, Anaheim, and Dallas for that final spot.


Vancouver Canucks

Finish: 3rd in West, 1st in Northwest

Why: Like I said for the Sharks, this is the regular season. They'll have plenty of time to disappoint their fans in the postseason.


Unlike with the East, I'm almost convinced I'm way off base with these predictions. So please don't reference this in April (or December) and laugh.

- Matt

Friday, October 1, 2010

NHL Regular Season 10-11 Preview, East

Yup, my first real post in like 6 months. Given the asinine preseason power rankings by TSN.ca, I thought a similarly uninformed hockey fan could weigh in on the season as well. Here we go, alphabetically:

Atlanta Thrashhawks

Finish: 10th in East, 3rd in Southeast

Why: They have a mold of proven players that will separate them from the terrible, terrible bottom 5. They may contend for a playoff spot, but it all depends on G Chris Mason.


Boston Bruins

Finish: 3rd in East, 1st in Northeast

Why: Despite crazy injuries last season, still managed to come within a game (and epic collapse) away from the ECF. Between Rask and Thomas, they should be solid in goal. Their scoring is always problematic, but that won't hurt until the playoffs (again).


Buffalo Sabres

Finish: 6th in East, 2nd in Northeast

Why: Not sure what to make of this team, other than I'm reasonably sure there are 5 better teams in the Eastern Conference and 9 worse ones. If Ryan Miller has another stellar year, will probably be higher. I'm thinking playoffs for certain, division title less likely.

Also, huge props for getting rid of the Buffaslug. That alone should give them a game 1 win in a round of their choice.


Carolina Hurricanes

Finish: 12th in East, 4th in Southeast

Why: Because they're not a good team. Need I say more? I hate wasting space on Southeast teams.


Florida Panthers

Finish: 14th in East, 5th in Southeast

Why: Name 5 players on their roster. Can't do it, right? I got Vokoun and McCabe, and that's it. Why is there a hockey team in fucking Miami? If not for Streit's injury, these guys would be a shoo-in for the number 1 pick.


Montreal Canadiens

Finish: 11th in East, 4th in Northeast

Why: Carey Price is a significant downgrade from Jaroslav Halak. Can't see them squeaking into the playoff scene unless several other teams get decimated by injuries.


New Jersey Devils

Finish: 4th in East, 2nd in Atlantic

Why: Because every year you think "Brodeur is too old" or "they just don't have enough in the tank", they always exceed expectations and bring their BORING AS PAINT DRYING style of hockey into the playoffs, where they promptly lose in round 1 or 2. Fuck the Devils, man. I don't care how into them Patrick Warburton is.


New York Islanders

Finish: 15th in East, 5th in Atlantic

Why: They lost their two best players, including Streit for the year. They don't have a shot in hell of being competitive. They're like a bad version of last year's Tampa Bay, and Stamkos won the Rocket Richard trophy for fuck's sake. Tavares would have to put up a Crosby in 2006-esque performance to drag this team into the playoffs. Maybe even 14th place is out of the question.


New York Rangers

Finish: 9th in East, 4th in Atlantic

Why: Because Gaborik has yet to have a season-killing injury under the Rangers, and you know without him they're basically mud. Case in point: Ruslan Fedotenko looks like a good fit for them.


Ottawa Senators

Finish: 8th in East, 3rd in Northeast

Why: Despite shoddy goaltending, team still packs a punch in terms of grit and scoring. Gonchar will produce in his first year for them. This is a team that needs to win this year, or it likely never will (at least with the same core). The Caps might even beat them in the playoffs! Crazier things have happened.


Philadelphia Flyers

Finish: 5th in East, 3rd in Atlantic

Why: Because they have two injury-prone cardboard cutouts in net. Even with one of the best defensive corps in the league, that's still going to hurt them. And gambling on Zherdev is either a great payoff or a miserable failure in the works. Lastly, Simon Gagne will prove to be missed later in the season. His shorthanded threat is not to be underestimated.

Still, they're the reigning Eastern Conference champs, who I fully expect to see the Pens in the playoffs at some point.


Pittsburgh Penguins

Finish: 2nd in East, 1st in Atlantic

Why: Winger for Sid? Who cares, they finished 5th in scoring last season despite dressing Pascal Dupuis and a urinating dog as his two wingers for half the games. What Montreal exposed was a bad defense, containing slow players with poor positional play. So the Pens got Michalek, arguably the best defensive dman on the market, and Paul Martin, another strong dman. If Fleury returns to form this season, they are the clear playoff favorites in the East.


Tampa Bay Lightning

Finish: 7th in East, 2nd in Southeast

Why: Last season showed a lot of strong indications they were a year or two off from true competitiveness. Whether it's because Stamkos has matured greatly, or their d coming into its own (hopefully), Tampa Bay should be right in the mix for a playoff spot. They'll probably lock it up with 2-3 games left. Should be a fun team to watch this year.


Toronto Maple Leafs

Finish: 13th in East, 5th in Northeast

Why: Because it's the Leafs. They're paying Armstrong 3 mil a year. Giguere is their starting goalie. It just isn't happening.


Washington Capitals

Finish: 1st in East, 1st in Southeast

Why: Because despite losing a couple defensemen, this is the same team that won the President's Trophy last season. They have the skills to run away with the conference once again. The only potential downfall is the downgrade (yes Caps fans, downgrade) in net from Theodore to Varlamov/Neuvirth tandem. And if Alzner and the other dude (forgot his name for now) don't progress as quickly as DC hopes, Jurcina and Sloane will be missed. Overall though, I don't see anyone challenging them for the top spot in the East.


Western Conference preview when I feel like it. No playoff predictions now, that would just be stupid.

- Matt

Friday, August 27, 2010

Worthy of a Post

I've been AWOL for a while on this site, but this was too good to pass up:

[holy shit]

If they don't play "YOU. SHALL NOT. PASS!" every time something good happens, I give up on humanity.

- Matt