Thursday, October 30, 2008

World Series Winners In Election Years

Politics is arbitrary. So let's find out if the winner of the world series determines who will win the election. Basically, most world series have teams whose color is either red or blue, so I figure we can make some useless statistic. And baseball is pretty much entirely useless statistics so...

1908- Cubs (blue) over Tigers (blue)
Taft (red) wins the election. 0-1.

1912- Red Sox (red) over Giants (?)
Wilson (blue) wins. 0-2.

1916- Red Sox (red) over Dodgers (blue)
Wilson (blue) wins. 0-3.

1920- Indians (red) over Dodgers (blue)
Harding (red) wins. 1-3.

1924- Senators (blue) over Giants (?)
Coolidge (red) wins. 1-4.

1928- Yankees (blue) over Cardinals (red)
Hoover (red) wins. 1-5.

1932- Yankees (blue) over Cubs (blue)
FDR (blue) wins. 2-5.

1936- Yankees (blue) over Giants (?)
FDR (blue) wins. 3-5.

1940- Reds (red, maybe) over Tigers (blue)
FDR again (blue). 3-6.

1944- Cardinals (red) over Browns (brown?)
FDR!!! 3-7.

1948- Indians (red) over Braves (red)
Dewey defeats Truman. Wait (blue). 3-8.

1952- Yankees (blue) over Dodgers (blue)
Eisenhower (red) wins. 3-9.

1956- Yankees (blue) over Dodgers (blue) ugh
Eisenhower (red) wins. No it's not 1952. 3-10.

1960- Pirates (yellow) over Yankees (blue)
Kennedy (blue) wins. 3-11.

1964- Cardinals (red) over Yankees (blue)
LBJ (blue) wins. 3-12.

1968- Tigers (blue) over Cardinals (red)
Nixon (red) wins. 3-13.

1972- A's (green) over Reds (red)
Nixon (red) wins. 3-14.

1976- Reds (red) over Yankees (blue)
Carter (blue) wins. 3-15.

1980- Phillies (red) over Royals (blue)
Reagan (red) wins. 4-15.

1984- Tigers (blue) over Padres (blue)
Reagan (red) wins. 4-16.

1988- Dodgers (blue) over A's (green)
Bush (red) wins. 4-17.

1992- Blue Jays (blue) over Braves (red)
Clinton (blue) wins. 5-17.

1996- Yankees (blue) over Braves (red)
Clinton (blue) wins. 5-18.

2000- Yankees (blue) over Mets (blue)
Bush (red) wins. 5-19.

2004- Red Sox (red) over Cardinals (red)
Bush (red) wins. Vomit. 5-20.

2008- Phillies (red) over Rays (blue)
...

By this logic, there is only a 20% chance that McCain has to win the election. Granted, in recent years the winner has gone 3 for 4, so you could argue McCain has a 75% chance to win.

Then again, this is bullshit. Thanks for reading.

- Matt

1 comment:

Matt said...

Also note: in red vs. blue direct matchups, the margin decreases to 4-6. So it's startingly even in those cases, with a 3-series win streak on the side of the winning team/party. Let's hope Obama breaks that run...